Crime is Up (or Down)
Tuesday, October 10, 2017 4:40 PM

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Total reported crimes in District 10, from Jan. 1-Sept. 30, in 2015, 2016 and 2017.

Crime in the Como neighborhood is up slightly so far this year – but down from where it was two years ago. That’s what analysis of the Saint Paul Police Department’s online database shows.

There are few clear patterns in the data, so it truly depends on how you want to look at it. But here are highlights. (You can download some detailed charts in the PDF in the right column.)

  • Through the first nine months of 2017, overall reported crime in District 10 is up 2.3 percent from the same period of 2016. But crime in 2017 is down 2.2 percent when compared with the first nine months of 2015.
  • The overall increase so far in 2017 is driven primarily by two categories: narcotics cases, which are up 31 percent, and verified cases of guns being fired, which are up 32 percent.
  • Crime is increasing in some parts of the neighborhood but decreasing in other parts. Most notably, overall crime has been increasing the past two years in the sections between Lexington, Dale, Arlington, and Larpenteur; south of Como between Lexington and roughly Victoria; and the corner of the neighborhood west of Hamline and south of Como.
  • What police call “crimes against persons” is flat in 2017. In this category, rape has increased; assaults and robbery have decreased slightly. The vast majority of assaults are domestic assaults, not random assaults on strangers.

What police call “crimes against property” is down slightly from 2016, and down noticeably from 2015. In this category, burglary is up slightly, theft is down slightly. The bulk of the increase in burglaries is the result of an increase in commercial burglaries, which have doubled so far this year. Auto thefts, on the other hand, have fallen 38 percent in 2017. Thefts from autos are about the same as in 2016, though down 29 percent from 2015.

Como Community Council staff did the analysis in preparation for a community crime meeting on Oct. 10. More than 40 residents attended to get facts, get advice on keeping themselves and their home safer, and sharing concerns with each other and with Patty Lammers, crime prevention coordinator for the Western District of the Saint Paul Police. You can download highlights of her "Crime Prevention 101" presentation from the right column.

The year-to-date comparisons are limited to 2015, 2016, and 2017 because those are the only complete years in the city’s Crime Incidence Report Dataset. The Police Department’s 2016 annual crime report shows that District 10 is consistently the fourth or fifth lowest neighborhood for crime out of the city’s 17 official neighborhoods. That report also shows that, in Como:

  • Crimes against property rose steadily between 2013-2016 (though the total is still lower than in 2012)
  • Crimes against people fluctuate year to year, but have been consistently higher since 2013.
  • “Quality of life” calls are steadily decreasing since a huge surge in 2013.

District 10 Como Community Council | 1224 Lexington Pkwy N, Saint Paul, MN 55103 | 651.644.3889 | district10 [at] district10comopark.org

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